Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.85
	1.84	1.9
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.82	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.21)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
50.6%

Jessica Pieri
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandra Mazzola's performance.

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandra Mazzola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandra Mazzola - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 710. Pieri is ranked WTA: 469.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mazzola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pieri will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Alessandra Mazzola - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Katharina Hobgarski - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Iveta Dapkute - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Daria Kuczer - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Jessica Pieri - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Pia Lovric - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Jessica Pieri - Justina Mikulskyte	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Despina Papamichail - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Jessica Pieri - Maelys Bougrat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

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