Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Tarvisio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Maria Sara Popa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.41	2.70
	1.49	2.65
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.50
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	2.59 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
64.2%

Maria Sara Popa
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandra Mazzola's performance.

Maria Sara Popa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Sara Popa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandra Mazzola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sara Popa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandra Mazzola - Maria Sara Popa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 380. Popa is ranked WTA: 454.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Popa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mazzola might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazzola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Carmen Andreea Herea - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Maria Toma - Alessandra Mazzola	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Maria Sara Popa
ITF Tournaments
13.06.26	Clara Burel - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Iva Ivanova - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Mathilde Lollia - Maria Sara Popa	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Maria Sara Popa - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Maria Sara Popa	Popa M. S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWW?

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