Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Federica Urgesi		Alessandra Mazzola

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.62	2.15
	1.61	2.35
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.60	2.20	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	2.23 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
58.4%

Alessandra Mazzola
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Alessandra Mazzola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federica Urgesi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandra Mazzola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federica Urgesi - Alessandra Mazzola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 356. Mazzola is ranked WTA: 477.

Now, both players are in good form.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Urgesi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
06.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Marta Lombardini - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Vivian Wolff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
06.06.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Dalila Spiteri	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi	1:2
26.08.24	Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi	0:2

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