Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Alessandro Giannessi		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.5	2.5
	1.56	2.46
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	2.41 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Giannessi
61.2%

Lucas Gerch
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Giannessi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandro Giannessi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alessandro Giannessi - Lucas Gerch Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Giannessi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gerch will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giannessi: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Giannessi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Tomas Machac - Alessandro Giannessi	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	Stefano Travaglia - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWL
- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Lucas Gerch - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
17.01.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
16.01.23	Jay Clarke - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Yannick Mertens - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
11.01.23	Richard Berankis - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Alessandro Giannessi - Lucas Gerch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide