Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Alessandro Giannessi		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.45	2.55
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.47	2.69
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.43	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	2.5 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Giannessi
62.6%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Giannessi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandro Giannessi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandro Giannessi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giannessi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giannessi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
10.03.22	Lukas Rosol - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
08.03.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
01.03.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Lukas Rosol	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
19.02.22	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
05.02.22	Hugo Dellien - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
14.03.22	Louis Wessels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Luca Potenza - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
28.02.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Yannick Maden - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
14.02.22	Benjamin Hassan - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLL?

Alessandro Giannessi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide