Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Alessandro Pecci		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.87
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.9
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.47)	1.86 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Pecci
50.2%

Moez Echargui
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Pecci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandro Pecci's performance.

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Pecci than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandro Pecci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandro Pecci - Moez Echargui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Pecci is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Echargui is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pecci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Pecci
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alessandro Pecci	2:1 ✺
01.07.24	Giovanni Oradini - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
30.06.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.24	Alessandro Pecci - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Alessandro Pecci - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Moez Echargui - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Moez Echargui - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Moez Echargui - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Moez Echargui - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

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