Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Alex Barrena		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.70	1.41
	2.90	1.45
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.43
	2.73	1.40	Watch
	2.70	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.33)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
34.1%

Timofey Skatov
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Barrena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alex Barrena - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Skatov will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 264. Skatov is ranked ATP: 150.

Barrena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skatov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Skatov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Jan Choinski - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Johan Nikles - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Alex Barrena	Canceled
21.07.26	Alex Barrena - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LW?LL
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Alex Barrena	2:0

Alex Barrena - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide