Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Stefano Napolitano		Alex Barrena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10	Watch
	1.66	2.16
	1.69	2.27
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.65	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	2.19 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 29.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
57.2%

Alex Barrena
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stefano Napolitano - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Napolitano (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 240. Barrena is ranked ATP: 245.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Stefano Napolitano - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
15.06.26	Franco Agamenone - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WL?W?
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Franco Agamenone - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Oleg Prihodko - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Gustavo Heide - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Alex Barrena - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW

Stefano Napolitano - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide