Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Alex Bolt		Garrett Johns

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.92
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.54	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.74 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
65.8%

Garrett Johns
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Alex Bolt - Garrett Johns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 226. Johns is ranked ATP: 343.

Bolt is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Johns has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Alex Bolt - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Giles Hussey - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Bolt - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Ben Shelton - Alex Bolt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Garrett Johns
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Garrett Johns - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Garrett Johns - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Garrett Johns - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Garrett Johns - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Garrett Johns - Aidan Kim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
21.07.18	Garrett Johns - Alex Bolt	0:2

Alex Bolt - Garrett Johns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide