Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finalsDate: 4 June 2026, Thursday
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Alex Bolt |
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Arthur Fery |
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- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alex Bolt
51.4% | Arthur Fery
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Fery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Bolt (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 Games - Bolt (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 Games - Bolt (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 Games - Bolt (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 Games - Bolt (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alex Bolt will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Bolt is ranked ATP: 152. Fery is ranked ATP: 154.Both players have been playing unpredictably.Fery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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Last Results with these Odds
Arthur Fery - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 22.07.25 | Alex Bolt - Arthur Fery | 1:2 |
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