Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Alex Bolt		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	4.22	1.23
	3.76	1.25	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.75)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
24.1%

Tristan Boyer
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Bolt's form might have worsened.

Tristan Boyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan Boyer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Bolt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan Boyer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Bolt - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 198. Boyer is ranked ATP: 109.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bolt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boyer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Govind Nanda - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Matt Hulme - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.25	Ethan Quinn - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tristan Boyer - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tristan Boyer - Jeffrey John Wolf	Wolf J.J. retired ✺
ATP Dallas
01.02.25	Tristan Boyer - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Tristan Boyer - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LW?LL

Alex Bolt - Tristan Boyer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide