Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Maxime Janvier		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.56	1.52
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Janvier
39%

Alex Bolt
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxime Janvier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Maxime Janvier - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Janvier will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Janvier is ranked ATP: 299. Bolt is ranked ATP: 168.

Janvier is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bolt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Janvier - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
27.01.25	Govind Nanda - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
04.01.25	Maxime Janvier - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Maxime Janvier - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	Maxime Janvier - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.12.24	Maxime Janvier - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
31.01.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Govind Nanda - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Matt Hulme - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
27.12.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Maxime Janvier - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide