Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Alex Kobelt		Kousuke Ogura

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Alex Kobelt
37.6%

Kousuke Ogura
62.4%

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Alex Kobelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Kobelt's performance.

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kousuke Ogura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Kobelt is ranked ATP: 1568. Ogura is ranked ATP: 917.

In recent matches, Ogura has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ogura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ogura is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Kobelt
ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Alex Kobelt - Gage Brymer	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Alex Kobelt	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Adam Farag-Cao - Alex Kobelt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Alex Kobelt	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Alex Kobelt - Miles Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Kousuke Ogura - Alex Kuperstein	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Kousuke Ogura - Patricio Betancourt	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Kousuke Ogura - Melvin Kumar	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Kousuke Ogura - Alexander Zgirovsky	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Kousuke Ogura - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWL

Alex Kobelt - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide