Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Alex Martinez		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.30	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.66	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.19)	2.31 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Martinez
59.8%

Saba Purtseladze
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Martinez's performance.

Saba Purtseladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saba Purtseladze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saba Purtseladze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Alex Martinez - Saba Purtseladze Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Martinez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Purtseladze will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Purtseladze (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 553. Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 288.

Martinez is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Purtseladze's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Purtseladze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Martinez will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Martinez Tennis
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Alex Martinez - Henry Searle	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Alex Martinez - Andreja Petrovic	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Alex Martinez - Alexander Kotzen	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Alex Martinez - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Saba Purtseladze - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Max Wiskandt - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	James Duckworth - Saba Purtseladze	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWL?

Alex Martinez - Saba Purtseladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide