Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 WINSTON-SALEM, NC (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Alex Michelsen		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	3.2	1.28
	3	1.34
	2.75	1.36
	3.21	1.32
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	2.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.01)	1.33 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
30.6%

Toby Samuel
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Michelsen - Toby Samuel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samuel in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Samuel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Samuel to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ITF Tournaments
12.11.22	Alex Michelsen - Pedro Rodenas	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	James Story - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Mitchell Harper - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Bozo Barun - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.10.22	Alex Michelsen - Omni Kumar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Toby Samuel
ITF Tournaments
12.11.22	Robin Catry - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
11.11.22	Taha Baadi - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Cash Hanzlik - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Learner Tien - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

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