Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Alex Molcan		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.6	2.25
	1.65	2.33
	1.65	2.33
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
58%

Flavio Cobolli
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Alex Molcan - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Molcan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
19.10.23	Marius Copil - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alex Molcan	Kuzmanov D. retired ✺
10.10.23	Alex Molcan - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Dennis Novak - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?LL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW

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