Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Flavio Cobolli		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.48
	1.33	3.25
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.36 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
72.2%

Federico Gaio
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Flavio Cobolli - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gaio will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cobolli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cobolli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Flavio Cobolli	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
08.10.23	Benjamin Hassan - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLW?W
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Federico Gaio - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Federico Gaio - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.07.23	Federico Gaio - Flavio Cobolli	0:2
14.03.22	Flavio Cobolli - Federico Gaio	2:0
16.07.21	Federico Gaio - Flavio Cobolli	2:0

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