Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Oscar Otte

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.72
	2.07	1.77
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
47%

Oscar Otte
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Oscar Otte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Alex Molcan - Oscar Otte Predictions

Users Predictions: Oscar Otte will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Otte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
18.11.21	Alex Molcan - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
17.11.21	Alex Molcan - Tim Van Rijthoven	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Alex Molcan - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
12.11.21	Alex Molcan - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
11.11.21	Alex Molcan - Tobias Kamke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Oscar Otte
ATP Challenger
18.11.21	Jurij Rodionov - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
17.11.21	Damir Dzumhur - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Oscar Otte - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Oscar Otte - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
12.11.21	Oscar Otte - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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