Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.79	2.19
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.3)	2.07 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
54.7%

Tallon Griekspoor
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallon Griekspoor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alex Molcan - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 113. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 31.

Molcan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Griekspoor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Griekspoor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.43%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jenson Brooksby - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.26	Alex Molcan - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Alex Molcan	Canceled
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Alex Molcan	2:1
ATP Halle
14.06.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Alex Molcan	2:0
ATP Marrakech
04.04.22	Alex Molcan - Tallon Griekspoor	Canceled
ATP Challenger
13.11.21	Alex Molcan - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2

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