Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alex Molcan		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.4	1.57
	2.5	1.49
	2.63	1.53
	2.6	1.5
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.03)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
36.8%

Richard Gasquet
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Molcan's form might have worsened.

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Richard Gasquet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Molcan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Alex Molcan - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). Gasquet will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Molcan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gasquet will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Basel
26.10.22	Alex Molcan - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Alex Molcan - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
19.10.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.22	Alex Molcan - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Alex Molcan - Marius Copil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Antwerp
22.10.22	Richard Gasquet - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Richard Gasquet - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
17.10.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Florence
11.10.22	Richard Gasquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches