Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Alex Rybakov		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.13	1.69
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.69 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
45.2%

Illya Marchenko
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Rybakov's form might have worsened.

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Rybakov - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Alex Rybakov - Enzo Frances Tessari	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
20.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Cooper Williams	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Nicolas Barrientos - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Ryan Harrison	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWL?

Alex Rybakov - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide