Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: WACO (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.95	1.79
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
49.2%

Illya Marchenko
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Marchenko will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Edan Leshem	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Ryan Harrison	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.23	Illya Marchenko - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Toby Alex Kodat - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WL?LW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide