Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAVANNAH (USA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday


	Alex Rybakov		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.74	2.05
	1.76	2.11
	1.73	2
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
53.9%

Mitchell Krueger
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Rybakov's form might have worsened.

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mitchell Krueger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitchell Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Alex Rybakov - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Rybakov will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rybakov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rybakov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
25.04.23	Nick Chappell - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Alex Rybakov - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Bruno Kuzuhara - Alex Rybakov	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Lawrence Sciglitano - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
25.04.23	Bruno Kuzuhara - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Gabriel Diallo - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Mitchell Krueger - Emilio Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.07.22	Alex Rybakov - Mitchell Krueger	2:0

Alex Rybakov - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide