Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Rybakov		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.23	3.75	Watch
	1.23	3.71	Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
74.1%

Moerani Bouzige
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Rybakov's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Alex Rybakov - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakov is ranked ATP: 321. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 328.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Bouzige may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rybakov is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rybakov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
16.08.25	Alex Rybakov - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Samir Banerjee - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Tsung-Hao Huang	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Moerani Bouzige - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Moerani Bouzige - Alex Rybakov	Bouzige M. retired

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