Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALINAS (ECUADOR) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Alexander Bernard		Matias Soto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.07	1.74
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.78	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.53)	1.75 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bernard
46.9%

Matias Soto
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bernard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bernard's form might have worsened.

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matias Soto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bernard than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bernard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexander Bernard - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bernard will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Soto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bernard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bernard
ITF Tournaments
21.07.23	Alexander Bernard - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Edward Winter - Alexander Bernard	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Andrew Fenty - Alexander Bernard	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Alexander Bernard - Nick Chappell	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	James Tracy - Alexander Bernard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
06.07.23	Matias Soto - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Matias Soto - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
29.06.23	Patrick Kypson - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Matias Soto - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Max Hans Rehberg - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWW

Alexander Bernard - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide