Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Alexander Blockx		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.3)	2.24 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
58.2%

Eliot Spizzirri
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Blockx's performance.

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eliot Spizzirri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Blockx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eliot Spizzirri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexander Blockx - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Blockx will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Spizzirri will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blockx: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 203. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 228.

Blockx is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Spizzirri is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spizzirri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spizzirri will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Challenger
28.12.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Alexander Blockx - Philip Sekulic	Blockx A. retired ✺
16.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Alexander Blockx - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 L?WWW
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Chris Rodesch - Eliot Spizzirri	Canceled ✺
16.11.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Patrick Kypson - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Jay Clarke - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWWW

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