Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.05
	1.39	3.05
	1.36	3.08	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.33	3.15	Watch
	1.32	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.85)	3.05 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
69.3%

Alexander Blockx
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Blockx might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Blockx could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Yosuke Watanuki - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 183. Blockx is ranked ATP: 143.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Watanuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Watanuki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Watanuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Alexander Blockx
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Arthur Gea - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Jan Choinski - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Hady Habib - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Alexander Blockx - Jerome Kym	Kym J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Alexander Blockx	1:2
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Alexander Blockx - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2

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