Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bali, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Alexander Chang		Thanaphat Boosarawongse

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
	1.55	2.28
	1.64	2.29
	1.6	2.17
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.05)	2.23 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Chang
58.2%

Thanaphat Boosarawongse
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Chang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Chang's performance.

Thanaphat Boosarawongse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thanaphat Boosarawongse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Chang than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Chang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thanaphat Boosarawongse than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thanaphat Boosarawongse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Chang - Thanaphat Boosarawongse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chang is ranked ATP: 1319. Boosarawongse is ranked ATP: 1795.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Chang
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Sanhui Shin - Alexander Chang	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Alexander Chang - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Azuma Visaya - Alexander Chang	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Jack Anthrop - Alexander Chang	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Aidan Kim - Alexander Chang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLL
- Thanaphat Boosarawongse
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Thanaphat Boosarawongse	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Thanaphat Boosarawongse - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Thanaphat Boosarawongse - M Rifqi Fitriadi	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Andrew Fenty - Thanaphat Boosarawongse	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Thanaphat Boosarawongse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW

Alexander Chang - Thanaphat Boosarawongse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide