Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Alexander Cozbinov		August Holmgren

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36
	2.8	1.38
	2.88	1.38
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.96	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.31)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Cozbinov
32.6%

August Holmgren
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Cozbinov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Cozbinov's form might have worsened.

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting August Holmgren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Cozbinov than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Cozbinov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for August Holmgren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Cozbinov is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Holmgren is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cozbinov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Holmgren will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Cozbinov
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Alexander Cozbinov - Peter Gojowczyk	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Mark Lajal - Alexander Cozbinov	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Enzo Wallart - Alexander Cozbinov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.23	Alexander Cozbinov - Daniel Khazime	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Ryan Seggerman - Alexander Cozbinov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
27.09.23	Aziz Dougaz - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Federico Agustin Gomez - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Brayden Schnur - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	August Holmgren - Thiago Monteiro	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	August Holmgren - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWW?L

Alexander Cozbinov - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide