Match Info

Date: 15 October 2021, Friday


	Alexander Ritschard		Gian Marco Moroni

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.6	1.47	Watch
	2.34	1.51
	2.45	1.56
	2.38	1.53
	2.43	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.62)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
38.7%

Gian Marco Moroni
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gian Marco Moroni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Ritschard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gian Marco Moroni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Alexander Ritschard - Gian Marco Moroni Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ritschard will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Moroni will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moroni: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ritschard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moroni will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
14.10.21	Yannick Hanfmann - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
12.10.21	Alexander Ritschard - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
11.10.21	Alexander Ritschard - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
10.10.21	Alexander Ritschard - Arjun Kadhe	2:0
10.10.21	Alexander Ritschard - Sadio Doumbia	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWW?
- Gian Marco Moroni
ATP Challenger
14.10.21	Gian Marco Moroni - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
12.10.21	Jonas Forejtek - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
08.10.21	Tallon Griekspoor - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
07.10.21	Filippo Baldi - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
04.10.21	Miljan Zekic - Gian Marco Moroni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Alexander Ritschard - Gian Marco Moroni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide