Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Salzburg (Austria), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Alexander Ritschard		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.66	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
58.1%

Ignacio Buse
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Ritschard's performance.

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Buse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Ritschard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alexander Ritschard - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ritschard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buse is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ritschard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ritschard will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Ritschard - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
12.07.24	Federico Coria - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
10.07.24	Jerome Kym - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
08.07.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Pedro Cachin - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
12.07.24	Ignacio Buse - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Vit Kopriva - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.07.24	Miguel Damas - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
05.07.24	John Echeverria - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLW

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