Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Alexander Ritschard		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
57%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alexander Ritschard - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ritschard is ranked ATP: 121. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 159.

Ritschard is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ritschard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ritschard will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ritschard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Ritschard - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.22%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Alexander Ritschard - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Alexander Ritschard - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Alexander Ritschard - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Alexander Ritschard - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Clement Tabur - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Jaume Munar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
24.05.22	Alexander Ritschard - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
12.04.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alexander Ritschard	2:0

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