Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 4h 36m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.74	1.99	Watch
	1.72	1.99	Watch
	1.7	1.96
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.74	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
53.8%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 156., and Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 332..

In recent outings, Barrios Vera has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Barrios Vera could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Barrios Vera has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.59%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Estevez	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Nicolas Jarry - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Aguilar Cardozo J. Retired ✺
08.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo