Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexander Shevchenko		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.45
	2.77	1.49
	2.50	1.51	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.57)	1.47 (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
35.4%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	0%	88%

Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Shevchenko (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Mpetshi Perricard (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 2 - 20%). Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 96. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shevchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mpetshi Perricard might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shevchenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.57%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ??WL?
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Filip Misolic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2
17.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2

Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard