Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - Final

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Mattia Bellucci		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.58	2.49
	1.51	2.49	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	2.47 ↓ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
62.1%

Alexander Shevchenko
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 50%). Shevchenko (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 102.

Bellucci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shevchenko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shevchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bellucci might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston	Bellucci M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWL?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniel Elahi Galan	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?W??

Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide