Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Quillota (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quillota (Chile) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alexander Stater		Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	1.9	1.8
	2.2	1.62
	2.13	1.66
	2.12	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.73)	1.66 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Stater
44.1%

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
55.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Stater has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Stater's form might have worsened.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Stater than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Stater, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Stater is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saraiva Dos Santos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stater could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Stater
ITF Tournaments
05.04.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alexander Stater	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Alexander Stater - Ezequiel Simonit	Stater A. retired ✺
02.04.24	Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola - Alexander Stater	Becerra Otarola I. A. retired ✺
27.03.24	Alexander Stater - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Alexander Stater - Ezequiel Simonit	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 L??LL
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Wilson Leite	Leite W. retired ✺
24.03.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LW?LL

Alexander Stater - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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