Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Alexander Vasilev		George Loffhagen

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.8	1.48
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.31)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Vasilev
33.2%

George Loffhagen
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Vasilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Vasilev's form might have worsened.

George Loffhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting George Loffhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Vasilev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexander Vasilev - George Loffhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasilev will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Loffhagen will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasilev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vasilev is ranked ATP: 995. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 222.

Recent performances by Vasilev have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Loffhagen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loffhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Loffhagen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Vasilev
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Alexander Vasilev - Matyas Fuele	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexander Vasilev	Canceled ✺
04.03.26	Alvaro Peiro Serrano - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Alexander Vasilev	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Alexander Vasilev - Gregorio Biondolillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?WLW
- George Loffhagen
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - George Loffhagen	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
10.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
06.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L??LW

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