Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Alexandr Binda		James Watt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.59	2.22
	1.75	2.29
	2.49	1.50	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
54.7%

James Watt
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

James Watt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandr Binda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Watt than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Watt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexandr Binda - James Watt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Binda (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Binda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 378. Watt is ranked ATP: 584.

Binda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Watt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Watt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandr Binda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

James Watt - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Renta Tokuda	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alexandr Binda	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alexandr Binda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW
- James Watt
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Kaito Uesugi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Seita Watanabe - James Watt	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Rio Noguchi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Blake Bayldon - James Watt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Alexandr Binda - James Watt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide