Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		James Watt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.42	2.81
	1.31	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.2)	3.25 ↓ (4.1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
71.1%

James Watt
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

James Watt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Watt's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Rio Noguchi - James Watt Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Watt will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Watt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Watt (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Watt (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Watt (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 210. Watt is ranked ATP: 589.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Watt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noguchi is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Ray Ho	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
17.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WL?LW
- James Watt
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Blake Bayldon - James Watt	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Andrew Fenty - James Watt	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	James Watt - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	James Watt - Keegan Rice	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Andre Ilagan - James Watt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Rio Noguchi - James Watt	2:0

Rio Noguchi - James Watt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide