Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Alexandr Binda		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.56	1.53
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.83)	1.55 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
39.8%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Bar-Biryukov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandr Binda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alexandr Binda - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Users Predictions: Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 419. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 346.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Binda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bar-Biryukov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Binda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Alexandr Binda - Arthur Reymond	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Alexandr Binda - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Alexandr Binda - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Alexandr Binda - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Roger Pascual Ferra - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Mert Alkaya - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Isaac Nortey - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Jorge Plans - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Alexandr Binda - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2
02.03.23	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Alexandr Binda	2:1

Alexandr Binda - Petr Bar-Biryukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide