Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Gaiba (Italy), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Alexandra Eala		Sara Errani

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.97
	1.87	1.97
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)	1.9 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandra Eala
50.6%

Sara Errani
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandra Eala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandra Eala's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandra Eala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alexandra Eala - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Eala will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Errani will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eala: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Eala is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Errani is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Errani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Errani will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Errani to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandra Eala
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Georgia Pedone - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Alexandra Eala - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
09.06.24	Alexandra Eala - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Alexandra Eala - Sarah Beth Grey	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Alexandra Eala - Maria Timofeeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Sara Errani
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Katarina Zavatska - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Natalija Stevanovic - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.24	Sara Errani - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
28.05.24	Sara Errani - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Sara Errani - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
17.03.24	Alexandra Eala - Sara Errani	2:0

Alexandra Eala - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide