Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 9, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Alexandre Aubriot		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
	3.04	1.39
	9.24	1.02	Watch
	3.1	1.3
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.15)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Aubriot
21.5%

Luca Wiedenmann
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Aubriot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Aubriot's form might have worsened.

Luca Wiedenmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Wiedenmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Aubriot than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Aubriot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Wiedenmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexandre Aubriot - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aubriot is ranked ATP: 826. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 859.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wiedenmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wiedenmann is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Aubriot
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Alexandre Aubriot - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Milos Karol - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Isaac Becroft - Alexandre Aubriot	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Alexandre Aubriot	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Maxim Zhukov - Alexandre Aubriot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL
- Luca Wiedenmann
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Jan Kupcic - Luca Wiedenmann	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sander Jong - Luca Wiedenmann	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Patrick Schoen - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Peter Makk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

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