Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 9, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Alexandre Aubriot		Finn Murgett

	1	2
	1.86	1.96
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Aubriot
51.6%

Finn Murgett
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Aubriot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Finn Murgett has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Aubriot than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Aubriot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Finn Murgett could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexandre Aubriot - Finn Murgett Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aubriot is ranked ATP: 826. Murgett is ranked ATP: 897.

Aubriot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Murgett is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Murgett may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Aubriot
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Milos Karol - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Isaac Becroft - Alexandre Aubriot	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Alexandre Aubriot	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Maxim Zhukov - Alexandre Aubriot	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Alexandre Aubriot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLW
- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Finn Murgett - Ivan Ivanov	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Finn Murgett - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	James Beaven - Finn Murgett	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Finn Murgett - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Alexandre Aubriot - Finn Murgett: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide