Match Info

Date: 8 October 2020, Thursday


	Alexandre Muller		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.81	1.86
	1.85	1.96
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
50.3%

Alexei Popyrin
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexei Popyrin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alexandre Muller - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Popyrin will win (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
06.10.20	Alexandre Muller - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
01.10.20	Alexandre Muller - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Gabriele Felline - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.09.20	Dustin Brown - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
21.09.20	Alexandre Muller - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
06.10.20	Alexei Popyrin - Juan Ignacio Londero	Londero J. I. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.09.20	Lloyd George Harris - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
13.09.20	Tennys Sandgren - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Alexei Popyrin - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.20	Quentin Halys - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LLWL

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