Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: GSTAAD (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexandre Muller		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.97	1.83
	2.02	1.88
	2.09	1.82
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.45)	1.8 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
47%

Dominic Thiem
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	0%	76.3%

Alexandre Muller - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Thiem will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Muller is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Thiem is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thiem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexandre Muller	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
23.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
22.06.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Dominic Thiem - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
01.07.23	Casper Ruud - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.23	Alexander Zverev - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Dominic Thiem - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 L?L?L

Alexandre Muller - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide