Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Alexandre Muller		Edoardo Lavagno

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.33	3.25
	1.35	3.45
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.18	Watch
	1.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3.11 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
69.7%

Edoardo Lavagno
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Edoardo Lavagno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexandre Muller - Edoardo Lavagno Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lavagno will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lavagno: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Muller is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lavagno is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lavagno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
16.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Jannik Sinner - Alexandre Muller	3:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
21.05.23	Jack Draper - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
16.06.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
14.06.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Edoardo Lavagno	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Francisco Comesana - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

Alexandre Muller - Edoardo Lavagno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide