Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday


	Alexandre Muller		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.64	2.3
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
57.8%

Luciano Darderi
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Alexandre Muller - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Muller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darderi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Jannik Sinner - Alexandre Muller	3:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
21.05.23	Jack Draper - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.23	Alexandre Muller - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
10.05.23	Kyle Edmund - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Alexandre Muller - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Luciano Darderi - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.22	Alexandre Muller - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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