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Current Win Probability
Alexandre Muller 44%
Illya Marchenko 56%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.
Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.7%
0%
80.3%
Alexandre Muller - Illya Marchenko Predictions
Users Predictions:
Illya Marchenko will win
(57 of 71 users predict this - 80.28%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.02% โ 89.54%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Muller is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Marchenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Watch
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