Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Alexandre Muller		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.08	1.64
	2.09	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.76)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
44%

Illya Marchenko
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.7%	0%	80.3%

Alexandre Muller - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (57 of 71 users predict this - 80.28%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.02% – 89.54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muller is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marchenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
18.11.20	Alexandre Muller - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
16.11.20	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
03.11.20	Kimmer Coppejans - Alexandre Muller	Canceled ✺
31.10.20	Alexandre Muller - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WW?LW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Illya Marchenko - Hugo Grenier	Marchenko I. walkover ✺
16.11.20	Sebastian Ofner - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
09.11.20	Vasek Pospisil - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Gilles Simon - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
07.11.20	Illya Marchenko - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WLLW

Alexandre Muller - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide