Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday


	Sebastian Ofner		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.94	Watch
	1.79	1.88
	1.88	1.93
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
52.2%

Illya Marchenko
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	0%	75.8%

Sebastian Ofner - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 16 - 24.2%). Marchenko will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marchenko: 65.5% – 86.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ofner is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marchenko is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ofner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
10.11.20	Mathias Bourgue - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
04.11.20	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
01.11.20	Sebastian Ofner - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 L?LWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Sofia
09.11.20	Vasek Pospisil - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Gilles Simon - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
07.11.20	Illya Marchenko - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.20	Marvin Moeller - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
29.10.20	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.19	Illya Marchenko - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

Sebastian Ofner - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide