Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3.02
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.96	Watch
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	2.91 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
67.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Popyrin is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Alexei Popyrin - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
19.04.23	Alexei Popyrin - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
17.04.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Ugo Humbert	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
03.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Forti	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 W?WL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.05.22	Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1
ATP Barcelona
16.04.22	Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2

Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide